When Numbers Can No Longer Be Trusted
Monday, August 11, 2025
Indonesia’s statistics agency delivers back-to-back data surprises. Economists question the credibility of the numbers.
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IN less than a month, Statistics Indonesia (BPS) has delivered two statistical releases that appear tailor-made to please the government. First came a report showing a steep drop in the national poverty rate. Then, just days later, the agency published economic growth figures for the second quarter of 2025 that came in far stronger than any market forecast.
The potential for such “upside surprises” had been foreshadowed weeks ea
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