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Economic Slowdown, Stimulus Unlikely
No countercyclical stimulus is forthcoming from Bank Indonesia or the government, even as Indonesia’s economy slows. There is no new hope on the horizon.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, November 25, 2024
Daunting Economic Condition Under Trump 2.0
The most significant factors behind Trump’s victory were Covid-19 and the Federal Reserve’s response. Life is likely to become harder for Americans—and for much of the rest of the world.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, November 18, 2024
Trump Wins: Will BI Dare to Cut Rates?
BI faces a dilemma over cutting rates amid the global volatility stirred by Trump’s victory.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, November 11, 2024
Market Confidence Begins to Falter
Capital outflow becomes increasingly clear at the outset of Prabowo’s administration. The large cabinet undermines investors’ confidence.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, November 4, 2024
Mounting Pressure for Rupiah Globally and Domestically
The rupiah is weakening amid the power transition, with global factors also exerting heavy pressure.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, October 28, 2024
Jokowi’s Legacy: An Inefficient Economy
Prabowo Subianto is inheriting an inefficient economy. Yet his new administration is likely to follow Jokowi’s economic model.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, October 21, 2024
No New Hope in the New Government
The market showed no positive reaction ahead of Prabowo Subianto's government, which was held back by the high amount of debt.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, October 14, 2024
Turmoil from China and the Middle East
Indonesia’s economy and financial markets are once again facing volatility stemming from China and the Middle East, leaving no respite for investors.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, October 7, 2024
The Middle-Income Trap in Indonesia
Indonesia is poised to fall into the middle-income trap. Only a few people enjoy the economy pie.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, September 30, 2024
Profit Opportunities After Interest Rate Cut
The Fed and Bank Indonesia cut rates, allowing the banks to gain maximum profit.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, September 23, 2024
Exporting Crisis from China
China’s economic crisis has the potential to spread around the world. It can kill industries and manufactured goods in many countries.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, September 16, 2024
Signs of Economic Slowdown Amidst Strong Optimism
Optimism is brewing in the financial markets, while the real sector is signaling a slowdown. A heavy burden for the incoming president.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, September 9, 2024
Looming Economic Crisis in Prabowo’s Administration
The current account deficit threatens the Indonesian economy. The value of the rupiah could fall further, triggering an economic crisis.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, September 2, 2024
Political Turmoil Dampens Positive Sentiment
The hijacking of the Constitutional Court’s decision on the Regional Head Election Law affects investor confidence, and political commotion hurts Prabowo’s government.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, August 26, 2024
The Risk When the Central Bank Is Not Independent
The financial market optimism on the Fed’s stance is beginning to falter. There are indications that Donald Trump will influence the Fed’s independence.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, August 12, 2024
Indonesia’s Debt Ceiling Exceeded, Rupiah Struggles
Government debt breached the limit. Markets await a signal of prudent fiscal management from the incoming president.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, August 5, 2024
Rupiah Strengthens on Debt Injection
The rupiah strengthened due to the significant US dollar inflow from the government’s debt proceeds. Unfortunately, this might be temporary.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, July 22, 2024
New Government Set to Challenge Financial Markets
Prabowo is challenging the markets by showing his intention to increase government debt. Investors must be ready to face volatile markets.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, July 15, 2024
Imminent Danger of Rice Crisis
Rice production is predicted to drop dramatically this year, potentially leading to a rice crisis and triggering inflation and an economic crisis.
Market Pulse Edisi : Monday, July 8, 2024
Two Challenges Squeezing the Rupiah amid Market Turmoil
Prabowo has no room to maneuver with increasing debt. A volatile rupiah would define his presidency.